河南财经学院本科生毕业论文
人民币汇率变动
及其对我国国内物价水平的影响
姓 名 张国峰
学 号 2008141350
专 业 国际经济与贸易
指导教师 II;
2012年4月
汇率和物价是经济生活中备受关注的两个经济变量。随着我国经济円益与世界经济 的融合,汇率作为货币的价格,与我们的H常生活H益息息相关,同时汇率的变动对经 济的健康运行也会产生重大影响,它影响着工商企业的跨国投资决策,也影响着金融机 构的经营决策。随着信用经济和符号经济的不断发展,随着世界经济、金融全球化和我 国社会主义市场经济体制的不断完善以及汇率市场化改革进程的加快,汇率对经济的观 调控已频繁运用汇率杠杆,汇率政策业己成为各国屮央银行调控货H3需求、进而调节经 济运行的主要段,它正发挥越来越重要的作用。因此,正确运用汇率政策应有的调控功 能,准确分析汇率水平对国民经济的影响,特别是对物价水平的影响就更具冇重大的理 论意义和实践价值。
本文首先分析了人民币汇率的现状和人民币汇率的影响因素;接着给出了人民币变 动对国内物价的影响渠道,主要从出口贸易途径、居民消费价格和外资外债的对国内物 价进行影响;最后给出了治理和预防通货膨胀的政策建议,主耍从灵活的货币政策、扩 大内需和控制稀缺产品三个方面进行分析论述。
关键词:国内物价;通货膨胀;影响因素;人民币汇率
ABSTRCT
Exchange rate and prices in the economic life of the two economic variables of concern. As China’s economy is increasingly integrated world economy, the exchange rate as a monetary price,and more closely related to our daily lives,while the exchange rate movements on the healthy operation of the economy will have a significant impact,which affects investment decisions of transnational businesses, also affects the business decisions of financial institutions. With the credit economy and symbolic economy continues to develop, as the world economy, financial globalization and China’s socialist market economic system continuously improved and the exchange rate to speed up the process of market reform,the exchange rate impact on the economy growing,has been reflect the macroeconomic situation as an important economic indicator. Macro-control has been frequently around the world leverage the use of the exchange rate,exchange rate policy has become the central banks control the money demand,thereby regulating the operation of the main section of the economy,it is playing an increasingly important role. Therefore, the proper use of the regula more of great theoretical and practical value.
This article first analyzes the status of the RMB exchange rate and RMB exchange rate factors; then give RMB impact on domestic prices change channels, channels from the export trade,consumer prices and foreign debt